Thursday, October 14, 2010

New rule

Have a new rule - if Stewie sells his stock due to profit and I want to hold, I need to move my stop up to break-even (without comissions) at the very least. 


Wednesday, October 13, 2010

On about Day 120 of not overtrading

Wow. Haven't updated in a while and I made it through 90 days of not overtrading! Geez I actually only traded a bit here and there - but now talking small losses (or gains) feels normal. For now. Got a little excited yesterday and had a minor issue which my uebersponsor will treat as an error. But it makes me realize just how easy it is to slip up. Gotta stick to my rules or modify them formally. Have I made any money? Not really- have some gains, some losses. But that's not the point. I now know I can stick to a system. Onwards.

Monday, July 12, 2010

On Day 40 of not overtrading

Ok well I haven't updated this blog in a while. I determined to never again trade emotionally, and try to get to 90 days of NOT overtrading, similar to my Overeaters Anonymous program, in which we must be abstinent from overeating for 90 days. I started on May 23, and I am only counting days that the market is open. On every day that I don't overtrade, I am considered "abstinent" or within the rules. This can include NOT trading at all, which is an active decision to stay on the sidelines. In fact currently I am on day 40 and I have made only 2 trades, both within my rules.

Here are there rules for me:


-     Only trade Stewie alerts during this period.
-          ping Stewie on email or chat for the grade on any alert
-          If it is GRADE A (includes plus or minus), and market conditions seem favorable, I will take it.
-          If thinks are rocky/violent/choppy/turbulent  I’d rather not take it.  
-          I will put stops in as suggested by Stewie ( not  the % loss thing).
-     I will use just <= 3k of capital (my emotion threshold)
-          I will sell when Stewie sells. If away from computer, must be within 5-10 minutes and max 10 minutes (use iPhone to trade ThinkOrSwim if on the road).


- Today was tough - I had to talk a very small $24 loss and I was fooling around with limit orders, then had to ping Stewie if really should sell as I had missed the alert, he said yes, and I did it will on the chat. The total time was within the 15 minutes. In the past, not selling very small losers has been by nemesis, as they always get worse. So I need to really watch this. I need to graciously and willingly accept small losses, ALWAYS. Winners will come if i trade by the rules.



Wednesday, June 2, 2010

Sell in May sure was true

Well I hate to state the obvious but "Sell in May" sure was true.. the flash crash and the week after caused me to do emotional trading and need to reset my days again to zero. I am now on Day 6 of NOT OVERTRADING. I've managed to do it by actually not even making ANY trades for the last 6 days. Hey if that works.. As an outsider, it sure looks very choppy and basically untradeable. Will sit out the rest of the week. Momo.

Monday, May 17, 2010

Takin it easy

I've got a lot going on at work and I realized that it is hard to play in the current environment without trigger fingers, so I am trying to take it easy and just not touch my accounts too much. I got stuck in one long position that I am waiting to get out of when we get a short-covering rally sometime this OPEX week, and then I've kept my now nearly useless LVS puts just in case we have another black swan event before Friday. You never know what can happen - we could be shooting up or down ...

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Rules & Suggestions Updated Again

OK communicated with  Stewie and I've updated my rules again:

1. no more than 2% risk per trade.
2 if using options must have 300 or more volume.

Suggestion:
1. try to move stop up as soon as break even.

The problem with moving up your stop to break even as soon as possible is that it may cause you to stop out especially if the stop is at an unnatural point. As long as you are comfortable with your per trade risk and your stop is in, you should let the trade work. It is still nice in concept to move your stop to break even, but it may reduce the effectiveness of the trade. Therefore making this a suggestion, not a rule.

2. - is a rule because I am still tired of dealing with market makers that want to screw with you when you try to exit out of an option - lowering their bid when you lower your ask etc - as happened to me yesterday in HOG. In fact after talking to Stewie I am going to use options for now because I am trying to get back to basics here, and there are all these other factors with options: expiration, time premium, delta etc. are a lot to handle in a market that has so much volatility anyway.

Ok doing well, passed Day 4 of not overtrading. This was hard as both NETL and LULU and others such as NFLX ran up and were tempting to chase. Even the SY buyout rumors were hard not to chase. But there will always be opportunities.

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Updated Rules

1. risk no more than 2% of the account size on the trade
2. if using options can't buy any with less than 300 volume on that strike and that day.
3. only stewie alerts for 87 more days (completed day 3).
4. move up stop to break-even as soon as you can.

Monday, May 10, 2010

This game isn't fair

A fellow trader told me he suspects there was no computer error on Thursday - it was just Wall Street as usual playing their games. They play the music, and when it stops we scramble for the chairs, but we don't get told in advance when the music will stop. I had sold out of my LVS longs which I would have loved to have back to sell at this mornings gap up, and I am now holding some LVS puts which are ridicuously worthless unless I have the courage to hold them until the next "Black Swan" event probably coming in a few days - hey OPEX is coming up! In any case, I can complain all I want - I am choosing to swim in this wave pool -- so it is my fault for trading emotionally, hence no more non-Stewie trades for 90 days. Technically this is day 2 so about 88 more days.

Thursday, May 6, 2010

The Great Canadian Minebuster

When I was a youth I would visit Canada's Wonderland (the Canadian equivalent of Disney World) and the meanest, baddest roller coaster was the wooden Great Canadian Minebuster. It was terrifying then, and was terrifying a year ago, when I went back at age 39 to do it again with my 8 year old sun. That is what it felt like today in the stock market. As we approached the cliff I sold out of my LVS and RIMM calls at a total 80-90% loss just so that they wouldn't go to zero. I made  a few bucks  buying and then selling a MOS put as per an alert. I flipped into some puts (the stock didn't matter at that point) as the big drop happened and they went up over 100% -- but then I didn't sell because I was out of daytrades in this account - I'd have to wait for tommorow. No problem-- this drop was was so big we'd be gapping down tommorow. But no---- all of the sudden the market rebounded just as fast as it had dropped. By the end of the day my puts were DOWN. In my other account where I had bought some puts at the bottom, as the rocket up happened, the big money I paid for the put evaporated and it turned negative. Oh my goodness. Well I should have sat out or not reacted or gone back to work (I tried) but anyway.. this sucks. I am now seeing if my broker will cancel one or more of the trades due to the fact that the nasdaq is cancelling trades as it was all related to some computer glitch. We'll see what happens. From now on, for the next 90 days, I 'm back to day 1 starting tommorow and trading ONLY stewie trades. He will also help me decide what do do in which account - I don't have any ability to decide this myself anymore - whatever I do doesn't work. Arhgghghhh.

Friday, April 30, 2010

Chopfest!!! Feel like you've been on a rollercoaster?

You have! This picture says it all!!

Day 2

Made it through Day 2. Respected my stop on VECO and got taken out. Took it like a man. This was very puzzling, VECO was up in the after hours but opened mediocre and then got taken down with the market. Oh well. I didn't lose sleep over it. 

I am also still holding my options from this past week in my other account trying to get out of them without losing too much money. I refused to sell today in this chopfest although there was a point at which both positions were less than $30 away from break even, and in retrospect I should have closed them out then. Oh well. At least I didn't put in a liberal stop that then got taken out.

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Down to One Single Rule, and I made it through Day 1

 I've decided that my list of rules is too long (see somewhere below). I've decided that I have only 1 rule. Whatever trade I put on, I can risk no more than 2% of the liquidation value of that account. So if I have an 8k account, I can risk $80 x 2 = $160 per trade. If I have a 2k account, I can risk only $40 per trade. Not sure how I will trade a 2k account, perhaps scalping only. In any case, this is my 1 rule.

I can still risk this money in different ways. For example I could go long stock, and set the stop so that I lose max $160 on whatever position I take. For example buying 100 shares of a  $30 stock with a $28.5 stop would lose $150 max and even provide a few bucks for commissions. Or I could buy an option worth $320 and set a stop on it to sell automatically if it touches $160. Or I could spend the whole money on one option for $160, or hopefully very rarely, buy 4 "lottery ticket" OTM options for $40 each.

If I need to lower/loosen the stop, well then I need to reduce the position size accordingly. No matter what I do, the risk can absolutely not exceed that amount of max loss. 2% is ok. It is sad when it occassionally hits that stop -but I can sleep at night. The past 48 hours have been horrible. I am still holding some options in the "hope" they recover, right as we go into "sell in may" and as Goldman Sachs gets investigated criminally tonight... I hate hope. Hope is not a strategy. Prayer is not a strategy. You can't control what the market is going to do, so all you can do is control how much risk you are going to expose to it.

Also here is a good article from a guy on stock twits on trading rules:

Joe Fahmy's trading rules

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Back to Day 1

Well tommorow will be day 1. The day started off fine. The problem started when I failed to take a $50 profit in a RIMM that I quickly made, shortly after the opening bell. The profit dropped and I could have still made $20, but I did the dear-in-the-headlights thing, and soon it turned into a $50 and then $100 loss.
Then the rest of the day during the sell off and again near the close I did the unthinkable: lowered my stops, several times. The first big bounce seemed like it was going to end OK, but then we bounced again and ended up closing on or near the LOD.

During the late-day bounce I even added a long position in this account because I figured it was a Stewie alert, but I had already played the Stewie alert in another account and didn't need to add more risk to this one. The problem with this account is that it is only 2k and I am down $300 from where I started and constantly fighting to get back. I've got several (option) positions going, also XRTX and LVS from the other day. I figured this week was going to be a blow-off top, super-strong, etc, and THEN crashing next week, but hey what I think doesn't matter.

So now I am in a position where I am "hoping" for a rally (dang) going into the morning. I do think it is possible, somehow I think this whole thing is related to Goldman Sachs and NOT Greece, and is their way of punishing America while their CEO is being interrogated on television. Isn't it funny how the one good trade today would have been to be long Goldman Sachs! In any case, I broke all sorts of rules, from alllowing more than 2% risk on each trade (technically in this smaller account I should only be risking $40 per trade, and if I can't do that...don't trade).. and I am even afraid to look at my rules to see what else I broke. Human emotions are a powerful thing, and I am still being affected. Wouldn't it be nice to be able to sleep pretty knowing that in the absolute worst case, I'd only lose MAX 2% on each trade.. it works nice in theory but in such a small account, again, you need to try to use options and do miracles with them (maybe trade the qqq's a low priced option)-- or maybe trade penny stocks with a tight stop.. or just not trade. Fortunately more money (about 3k) is coming into that account sson so it will be a 5k account.. if I can just preserve the money in there now....

Friday, April 16, 2010

Was having a good run of trading and BLEW IT TODAY

Well, I had carefully avoided the market for a number of days or traded very lightly and prudently, and then today had a bad day. It started off by having a lot of work stress Thursday night, staying up late, and having a late shower. I got to my computer as the market opened. I tried to sell my SPG 80 call for $5 and no one would even take it, no big surprise. A few days ago the REIT's looked good but this option expired worthless today - no big deal, I risked $45 on  purpose. Then my fellow comrades in the Stewie service sell VMW for a profit, and I get upset because I was being conservative, didn't want to risk holding the option, so I sold it yesterday for a $30 loss when I could have made a $100 profit if I had kept it until today. Well I didn't know that, so I probably did the right thing, in fact I still believe I did the right thing. Then today, I kept getting drawn to the idea of taking something and buying a cheap option and wacking the market with some major profit. All of the sudden AAPL was headed to 250. I hesitated, the 250 strike option was only $75 and if I grabbed it I could make a lot of money if AAPL later headed to 260. This was all after the market had its usual early pullback, and AAPL was leading the way up. Well there was all this excitement, and I saw this option get more and more expensive and bought it at $140. OK fine, if AAPL was still going to head up to the moon (260) at least I got in, right? Well all of the sudden AAPL fell back to $250, then $249, then someone in the chat room said "Something Happened!!" and I should have sold there. In fact I was putting in an order to sell at $79, and hesitated, thinking we'd get a bounce (as we often have in the last few weeks). Well that was GS getting sued by FC and it was only downhill from there. Talk about losing time premium fast, I didn't want to take a $60 loss, then a $40 loss, then a $20 loss, well I finally sold the option for $13 and at least I didn't hold it until the end of the day letting it get to $0.00. Because this was a very small account ($2.5k) it was a 6% hit, violating my rules of having only a 2% loss. I had called my sponsor and asked him for an exception today to make this one trade even though I knew in my gut it was the wrong thing to do, but my emotions overtook me. We'll see what he says, whether we ignore this given that I had gotten an exception or what. In the meantime I am writing this down so I remember these days. 

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Reached 60 days of not overtrading!

I am not just past 60 days of not overtrading according to my rules. It has been a little hairy and there have been some grey areas as well as honest mistakes but my sponsor has congratulated me on the success. In all of my financial accounts I am better off now than I was 60 days ago. Credit to Stewie who has acted as trading coach and advisor. On a sad note, my grandmother of 95 years of aged who survived World War II and raising 7 kids as a single parent starting in War time, passed away on Sunday, and I am taking some time off and going to the funeral.

Momo.

Monday, March 29, 2010

Added a blog of another trader on a journey

Here is another great blog of a fellow learner posting their journey...

http://www.lauratrading.blogspot.com/

Thursday, March 25, 2010

Having trouble again graciously accepting small losses.

Today I was in MGM, had entered with options at about 12.50 from a few days ago. As this selloff hapened late in the day, I kept thinking it was a fakeout for a rally into the close, like it has been for some time. However this time, it was an honest-to-goodness selloff. MGM started breaking the good setup and while it did not hit my very liberal stop of 11.99, it almost did, and so I sold it manually. I lost about 40% of the value of the call, across 4 calls, and it hurt, after a good week of disciplined trading. If I had just been able to accept a $1 gain, or a $13 loss, I could have sold those options a day or 2 ago. No, instead I held, wanting to prove that I "WAS RIGHT" and I was excited that hey this was MGM, and I was going to Vegas soon, and isn't it cool to be in a gambling stock, it's just like gambling. Truer than I wanted it to be!! After summarizing my trades for the week and my various accounts a little early, I looked at my performance. I broke out trades as either "Stewie" (from his service/alerts) and non-Stewie (my own, or from his chat room for members). I think the problem is that I am not good enough with setting stops to set them tight enough on my own trades. I make them very loose liberal, so that they don't get hit, and then guess what ... they get hit anyway, and I get depressed. So for now, I need to follow others on no only the exit, but pay attention to their exit strategy. Foremost, just trade the alerts, but if I absolutely have to make a trade from the chat room, find out what that person is using for a stop point. Because it is the liberal stops and letting the losers run that is killing me in my own trades. I did more analysis and summarized the following:

STEWIE + MY TRADES  IN 8K IRA: +2.9% SINCE DEC 11,2009
STEWIE ONLY TRADES  IN 8K IRA: +8.0% SINCE DEC 11,2009

STEWIE + OWN TRADES IN 2K ACCT: -12.3% SINCE DEC 30,2009
STEWIE ONLY TRADES  IN 2K ACCT: +01.0% SINCE DEC 30,2009
(TRYING TO GET BACK TO EVEN TO MANY TIMES ON MY OWN)

STEWIE ONLY TRADES IN 3K WIFE IRA: +2.8% SINCE MARCH 1
(I DON'T DO NON-STEWIE TRADES IN WIFE IRA-GOOD!)

BOTTOM LINE: I AM MY OWN WORST ENEMY.  MY OWN TRADES SUCK.

LOOKING CLOSER, IT IS NOT THAT I DON'T HAVE WINNERS,  ITS THAT WHEN I HAVE  LOSERS, I REFUSE TO TAKE A LOSS UNTIL THEY HIT A  VERY LIBERAL STOP OR REACH 2% of ACCOUNT SIZE. IT USED TO BE WORSE BUT EVEN WAITING TILL 2% is BAD!!! I NEED TO LEARN THAT *NOT* LOSING IS WINNING. IF YOU CAN'T STOP FROM THE ENEMY SCORING, IT DOESN'T MATTER HOW MANY WEAPONS YOU HAVE ON OFFENSE. I NEED TO GRACIOUSLY ACCEPT SMALL LOSSES. THAT IS THE KEY. IN THE MEANTIME, FOLLOW THE ALERTS SO YOU KNOW BETTER WHAT IS A GOOD STOP LOSS.

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Just posted my review of Art of Trading

Well I finished my review of Art of Trading tonight. BTW I am just a regular guy, not getting paid to promote this or anything. I hate how there are so many investment scams and shlocky services out there, even offered by the so-called gurus and pro's. I found out recently that even traders who write books often do it because they aren't good enough at trading itself, and/or weren't respected in the trading community.  In any case Stewie has been a major factor in turning my trading around from non-profitable to profitable. It still isn't easy, and won't be, but Stewie really does accelerate your learning by leaps and bounds.

http://www.investimonials.com/blogs/reviews-the-art-of-trading.aspx#momostocktrader

Monday, March 15, 2010

Some setups II like

ARII
CMA
CTXS
DIVX
HSIC
INCY
MSPD
N
OCLR
PEET
WFC
Y
T



Caveat Empor: Its quadruple witching on Friday, so beware!

Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Wierd day in the market

Today was bizarre - took a lot of Stewie alerts and by mid-day everything was green by $20 - $80 except a bone-headed AAPL 210 call I bought at the open (me and AAPL, arghghgh) .. then in the last hour everything headed south. Sold two alerts alongside Stewie that were green but basically only paid the commission, and held the 3 he is holding overnight. Someone in the chat room thought something fishy was going on and I believe it. Almost like a bunch of hedge fund guys all called each other and said - "HEY GUYS LETS SELL EVERYTHING DOWN AND PANIC THOSE LONGS - HEHEHEHEH" . Who knows. All I can control is my own trades and my own risk tolerance.We'll see what happens in the morning.

Monday, March 1, 2010

Doing well - getting good at taking small losses

OK I have stayed within my rules and I am doing well. Lately I have been getting really good at taking small losses. What broke the cycle is that I vowed to follow Stewie's alerts religiously for all of my trades, and Stewie has no qualms about jettisoning a stock the second he thinks it is going to lose him money. It could (and often is) well above the stop level - he does not wait until it hits the stop. The stock could start to bear flag, have poor price action, be too choppy, or WHATEVER - he doesn't care. In this sense Stewie reminds me of Larry Ellison of Oracle. Larry knows how to make money, and he buys companies, and makes decisions - all based on the BOTTOM LINE and the goal of MAKING MONEY - as soon as someone or something is not cutting it for that purpose, they get shown the DOOR.

We shouldn't get attached to our stocks - in fact that concept that Peter Lynch had about buying companies we know and admire can actually prevent us from parting with our winners. If you hold a winner long enough, it will become a loser. But  today my old habits didn't prevail.  I personally very attached to AAPL the company, but with some help from a friend holding my hand, I jettisoned  30 AAPL@209 before the closing bell.  I had bought these shares at 189 and held them through the downturn last year, so I had enough profit and was relieved to get rid of them. It was fun to sell into strength, and be profitable. This frees up about 6.5k that I can now use in this same account to focus more on Stewie alerts, yeah!

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Day 1 of 90

Yesterday  I violated a rule #19. So I am back to day 1 of my "overtraders anonymous" program. I didn't sell when Stewie said to sell. The trade was going well, and Stewie sold into the pop/rally (#16). I had $22 of profits (this was a very small size trade). Because I felt like I "needed" to earn more profit, as I had taken a $38 hit as part of a stop loss earlier in the morning, I was trying to push it and make back losses (#13). So instead of selling this stock at $54, I moved up my stop to $53.50. This would at least avoid letting a winner turn into a loser (#7), but OF COURSE my stop got hit and I only made $12.50 instead of $22. Moral of the story-stick with your system. If my rules involve following Stewie, then follow him. I've already done a comparison of my PnL for my own versus Stewie's trades-- and his are much better-- so I need to just stick to them.


Wednesday, January 27, 2010

I took my first SMALL LOSS graciously!!! Never been so excited!!

Guys,

OK this was Day 1 of my 90 day period where I follow my rules. I was basically following my rules, but realized that in my smaller account, I had miscalculated my maximum risk as about 10% instead of 1%. The trade was not going well, and while it didn't hit the stop (which was 1.5 pts away), this was a call option and it would have been ugly. Towards the end of the day we rallied, and I decided to get out of this trade. I would lose a small amount. BUT I would get back to being in compliance with my rules. So I proactively sold at the small loss near the close. I have never been so glad to take a loss. But I am realizing that without the ability to take small losses like good medicine, I will never proceed as a trader. In my larger account, I am keeping this trade on, both because Stewie has not alerted us to sell, AND because I am comfortable with the risk (< 2%). If you keep your risk appropriate, then you'll never get too worked up about any one loss, you just move on. OK back to work.

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

My Trading Rules

Today was a bad day. Took some heavy losses (2% in one account and 8.5% in another) buying AAPL calls (210 and 220) when APPL was at 212.50. AAPL reversed, hit my too liberal stop (210 instead of 211). Because these these were options, took a heavy hit. Note to self:  if you base a stop on  the underlying security it is OK, but try to at least calculate the maximum loss - and use it to so as not to exceed 2%. TOS does estimate it. And remember - options can move UP and DOWN really fast.. they are like a handgrenade and you need to get rid of them fast either way.

I do not want this to happen again. Last time this happened I worked on my rules but never posted them. Now I am posting them. I could not decide how to wittle them down, so instead I took every rule, do's / don't I have ever thought of and wrote them up. Turns out there are 37. Secondly I got a sponsor and for the next 90 days I will be checking in with him to make sure I am not violating these rules. The rules may evolve but at least this is a good start.

1. You MUST always trade with stops. If not an OCO order, enter stop within 5 minutes.  Default target +3, stop between -.50 and -1.00 If using Art of Trading, go with Stewie’s stops.
2. Adjust position size so maximum 2% of that account size could be lost on any single trade.
3. Only 2-3 open trades at a time, simple BUY/SELL x number of shares. No scaling in our out.
4. Must have 50% of account in cash or long-term holds at any one time, so you could never lose > 50%-- even all of your trades got messed up  / executed wrongly  due to clerical errors.
5. Must keep a PnL spreadsheet/log for each trade. This serves as a sanity check also.
6. Never reconsider your stop and loosen/relax/lower it. Ever. Not at the open either.
7. Never let a winner turn into a loser. Raise your stop to break-even as soon as you can.
8. Take what the market gives you. Don’t get greedy.
9. Don’t revenge trade, either that day or next. It almost always leads to a series of bigger losses.
10. No adding to a losing trade (i.e. no doubling down).
11. Gracefully  accept small loses. They aren’t bad. They are the cost of doing business. Even regular businesses have some days where they lose money instead of make money.
12. Get out of a losing (or neutral) trade.  Closing a losing position is a good thing.
13. Don’t try to make back losses. Every trade is fresh and is its own trade.
14. Put the stop in a clear support so you don’t get stopped for random movement.
15. The above may mean WAITING for low-risk entry point (e.g. bounce of the 20 MA).
16. Buy during consolidation and sell into the pop / retail rally.
17. Buy at support, sell at resistance.
18. Capital preservation (keep what u have) is #1, making money 2nd. Live to trade another day.
19. For 90 days, from 1/27 to to 4/27, can only initiate new trades on Art of Trading Alerts.
20. During the 90 days, use stock to trade  80% of the time –but could use an option in special circumstances when circumstances warrant (keep the stop based on the underlying security ).
21. Not allowed to trade options past Tuesday of Expiration Week until you are good with them.
22. Always check/re-check your order before pressing enter. Clerical errors are killers.
23. Cut your losers off quickly and let your winners run. You can always re-enter the trade.
24. If you are thinking about whether to cut off your loser now, you probably should.
25. If you are thinking about taking profit now,  you probably should. Take the money and run.
26. If your account is < 25k, don’t hold overnight just  to avoid using up 1 of 3 daytrades.
27. Trade with the market direction. If you are trading against the overall trend, you better have a really good reason and you better get out quickly (for either profits or losses).
28. For the stock you are trading, can you describe the long-term (6 months) trend,  the monthly trend, and the weekly trend, both itself and vis-à-vis the market in general?
29. Try to fight your bullish bias, and be objective. Good traders can trade in either direction, you just want to be on the right side of the trade.
30. A profit is a profit, is a profit, is a profit.
31. Patience is a virtue, except when waiting for the next rally as  your account is bleeding dry.
32. Try to fight your bullish bias, and be objective. Good traders can trade in either direction. You just want to be on the right side of the trade.
33. Don’t chase stocks – i.e. don’t buy as the stock is shooting up.  Wait for the retracement.
34. Don’t set your stops using zeros and even numbers (or you may get stopped out too soon).
35. Cut your losers off quickly and let your winners run. Both are hard. Remember: You can always re-enter the trade.
36. If your are bored, don’t trade. If you need some excitement, papertrade it instead.
37. Post your trades to keep yourself honest and accountable.

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

If you think we are a on a rollercoaster - we are:



This is my first picture. I used the snipping tool in Windows 7 to capture my TOS (ThinkorSwim) Prophet chart graphs. I like to use 30 minute bars over 5 days to evaluate trends for short term trading.

The role of float size in explosive growth

Found this interesting article and had to post about it. It talks about how Dan Zanger made a lot of money momentum trading with stocks that had a low float size, such as IBD-type stocks:

http://stockbee.blogspot.com/2010/01/what-color-is-dan-zangers-underwear.html

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

The markets are mucking with us

I was at a work conference all day long and did not have a chance to look at the graph until the end of the day. Looks like it ended up being another "mutual fund Monday" - things drift gently higher and by the end of the day it looks obvious in hindsight -- but during the day itself at any one point it didn't look like a sure thing. I have some AAPL stock I need to sell soon and was going to just sell at 212.40 when I checked in but was glad I didn't when I looked later and it had topped 215.00. Anyway, it was early last week that I had anticipated this kind of a move on Monday, but alas just when everyone identifies the pattern as "mutual fund mondays" (e.g. on John Najarian on Fast Money) -- the pattern stops for a week or two, then comes back when everyones loses faith. Arrrghghg I am starting to understand why people like to compare the stock market to playing poker.

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

Art of Trading really teaches the Art of Trading!

I have not updated in some time. Instead I've been focused on trading and not making mistakes-- rather than analyzing the momo's lately . The Art of Trading service is definately working out and is teaching me good habits. Stewie is just as much about teaching you to learn/improve as he is about the stocks themselves. He emphasizes cutting your loses quickly and taking steady, decent gains. I am learning not to strike out trying to bat a home run, but to take the base hit. So far it is working well. I sent in my testimonial and Stewie posted it here:

http://theimpatienttrader.blogspot.com/2010/01/great-art-of-trading-testimonial.html